You know about the tax incentives. Here’s my point of view on where the market is heading:

Interest rates will remain artificially low until early April. Once the Fed shuts down its Mortgage Purchase Facility, rates will become increasingly subject to market forces. While prices are likely to remain either stagnant or even decline further, now is the time to lock in the great financing. Once rates are free to float based on the market in the Spring, I do expect them to rise significantly. I do not expect fair market prices to slide nearly as much as they already have, however; they should remain under pressure due to rising interest rates. Location, type, and condition of the property you chose will factor in how well it weathers the rest of the storm.

We are also expecting to work through the remainder of the Distressed Market this year as well There will always be distressed property on the market, but after 2010/2011, we should return to normal levels, rather than the elevated inventory of this type that we’re currently seeing.

My Bottom Line: Buy now. In my opinion, the money you save in interest over time FAR outweighs, the potential for prices to decline further. Bottoms are generally called well after they have already passed.

For all the latest real estate advice on your favorite Chicago neighborhoods: Lincoln Park, Lakeview, Gold Coast, Garfield Park, East Village, Ukranian Village, Wicker Park, Bucktown, West Loop, South Loop, River North & Old Town

Related posts

• This Month In Real Estate: March 2010
• This Month In Real Estate: April, 2010
• Buyers Get Off The Fence. Sellers Get Real On Pricing
• 4063 N Kenmore: 2,300 sq ft in Lakeview, Chicago. $295,000
• 2BR 1.1 BA Townhouse. Location Location Location! $399,000

November 24, 2009

What a difference a tax credit makes: Home sales spiked 33.3 percent in the Chicago metropolitan area in October from a year earlier, the fourth straight month of year-over-year increases, helped by record-low mortgage interest rates and a tax credit incentive that had been close to expiring.

But the median price sank 15.6 percent, according to the monthly report from the Illinois Association of Realtors released Monday.

There were 7,286 existing single-family and condominium homes sold in the Chicago area last month, up from 5,467 in October 2008. The median price was $190,000, down from $225,000.

In the city of Chicago, sales jumped 28.5 percent in October to 2,012, compared with 1,566 sold a year earlier. The median price dropped 18 percent to $215,000 from $262,250.

Statewide, sales rose 24.2 percent to 10,986, while the median price fell 7.6 percent to $157,000.

The October report reflects home purchases by many buyers who had been sitting on the fence waiting out the economic downturn and more home sellers coming to terms with pricing levels required in this market.

Indeed, Chris Shirkey, who recently sold his three-bedroom, one-bathroom home in Coal City, said the 800 square-foot home had been on the market roughly five months. He bought the home four years ago for $137,900 and initially priced it to sell at $147,900. But he settled for a price of $129,500 after dropping the price three to four times. He believes lowering the price helped attract more first-time home buyers, looking to take advantage of the credit.

The credit had been set to expire Nov. 30, but was extended and expanded. Buyers who have owned their current homes at least five years are now eligible for tax credits of up to $6,500. First-time home buyers or anyone who hasn’t owned a home in the last three years can still get up to $8,000. To qualify, buyers in both groups have to sign a purchase agreement by April 30, 2010, and close by June 30.

The October report was labeled “encouraging” and “an early indication of a cessation of price declines in Illinois,” by Geoffrey Hewings, director of the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory at the University of Illinois. But he cautioned volatility still continues month-to-month, making it tough to detect a longer term trend.

Nationally, home sales far exceeded expectations last month, surging to the highest level in 2½ years. The National Association of Realtors said home resales rose 23.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.1 million in October, from 4.94 million in October 2008. The median price fell 7.1 percent to $173,100.

For all the latest real estate advice on your favorite Chicago neighborhoods:  Lincoln Park, Lakeview, Gold Coast, Garfield Park, East Village, Ukranian Village, Wicker Park, Bucktown, West Loop, South Loop, River North & Old Town

Related posts

• This Month In Real Estate: April, 2010
• Get In Now, It’s Time